Bears remain in full control of the cryptocurrency market on Jan. 24 and to the shock of many, they managed to pound the price of Bitcoin (BTC) to a multi-month low at $32,967 during early trading hours. This downside move filled a CME futures gap that was left over from July 2021.
Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that the $36,000 level was overwhelmed in the early trading hours on Monday, leading to a sell-off that dipped below $33,000 before dip buyers arrived to bid the price back above $35,500.
BTC/USDT 1-day chart. Source: TradingView
Here’s a look at what several analysts are saying about the macro factors at play in the global financial markets and what to be on the lookout for in the months ahead.
“Rate hikes don’t kill risk assets”
For several weeks the dominant conversation in U.S. financial markets has been the prospect of up to four interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve over the course of 2022, which many people have claimed will put an end to the current bull market.
But according to financial analyst and pseudonymous Twitter user Tascha, this is a common misconception because “rate hikes don’t kill risk assets.”
Tascha said,
“Reversal of quantitative easing does. Check what happened to stocks 2015 and 2018 when Fed turned off the tap.”
Further insight into Tascha’s tweet was provided in the following reply from pseudonymous Twitter user RK Maruvada.
Is it time to think about a bottom?
A bit of hope for the crypto faithful was provided by technical analyst and Bollinger Bands creator John Bollinger, who posted the following tweet suggesting that “it’s time to start thinking about a bottom in cryptos.”
It's time to start thinking about a bottom in cryptos. However the ability to get outside the lower Bollinger Band repeatedly strongly suggests a retest of some sort will be needed. My plan is wait for a bottom and a bounce, then look for a retest as an entry. $btc, $eth, $ltc…
— John Bollinger (@bbands) January 24, 2022
While the well-known analyst thinks that the market may be in the general area of a bottom, caution is still warranted and a bounce followed by a retest is needed before looking to enter a long position in BTC.
Opening a Bitcoin long “looks attractive here”
A final bit of analysis was provided by macro strategist and Delphi Digital co-founder Kevin Kelly, who indicated that “the big question now is where will the next wave of demand come from and what level do we need to hit for it to trigger such bids?”
BTC/USD 1-day chart. Source: TradingView
According to Kelly, “the mid-to-high $30,000s for BTC is a safe bet,” especially due to the widely held belief by many that Bitcoin could see a “run up to $70,000.”
This would mark a 75% gain from the current levels, which “large capital allocators would salivate at the opportunity to capture” from Kelly’s view, “even if it takes a year or longer to realize such gains.”
Kelly said,
“That is why we firmly believe BTC looks attractive here for those with a long enough time horizon, especially when compared to traditional alternatives to park your capital.”
This sentiment that BTC is at a good level for a long was also echoed in the following tweet by cryptocurrency analyst and Twitter user Will Clemente.
Don’t think asymmetry is skewed to the downside for BTC here.
For the long term investor this is a good area to DCA in some heavier buys IMO.
— Will Clemente (@WClementeIII) January 24, 2022
The overall cryptocurrency market cap now stands at $1.594 trillion and Bitcoin’s dominance rate is 41.9%.
Source: Cointelegraph
